June 16th, 2016 3:29 PM by Chris Styner
Mortgage rates moved lower today, largely because they needed to get caught up with yesterday afternoon's movement in bond markets. As a reminder, mortgage rates are most directly affected by mortgage-backed-securities (MBS), which tend to move in the same direction as US Treasuries. Both MBS and Treasuries improved significantly after yesterday's Fed announcement, but lenders have been cautious in adjusting rate sheets to match market movements for a variety of reasons. When they saw markets were still in good shape when it came time to send out this morning's rate sheets, lenders had a bit more love to share.
As such, we find ourselves well into the lowest rates in more than three years, even if the pace of improvement is lagging the drop in US Treasury rates. For what it's worth, 2016's mortgage rate improvements have kept up with Treasuries much better than in 2012--the last time markets were moving abruptly for somewhat similar reasons. The average lender is now down to 3.5% in terms of conventional 30yr fixed quotes for top tier scenarios. Further improvements from here will be hard fought, so it makes good sense to consider locking to avoid a temporary pull-back ahead of next week's vote on the British referendum on remaining in the European Union.